Humans are quite close to Gods when they decide to use their brain to their full capacity. A bunch of students based in Munich decided to do just that, they crunched this whole set of data of each Game of Thrones character to predict their likelihood of death- turns out Jon Snow being killed was a shocker even to a machine’s wires.
In this age of machine learning and data planning, even stories of TV shows cannot run away from point blank predictions. The Munich students started this project called A Song of Ice and Data. They analysed as much online data they could find both about the book and TV series and devised an algorithm of each character into more than 20 features including age, title, gender, number of dead relations and their popularity based on incoming and outgoing links of the vast Wiki of Ice and Fire.
There are a total of 2,028 characters in the entire Game of Thrones series. with 30 characters in each episode of the show and a higher ratio of male to female characters.
Men are more likely to play noble characters while women are more likely to be peasants (comment: what about Cersei and Daenerys), though the females are less likely to be killed off (comment: Katyln Stark?) To cut to the chase, the team developed a machine learning algorithm to predict the likelihood of death for characters and found 33% for men and 23% for women.
They extended the analysis to the age of the characters killed, and that was most likely between the age of 31 and 40. Identifying other risk variables, the tool could predict which characters were most likely to stay alive. Out of the entire data, Jon Snow’s death was most shocking emotionally as well as logistically.
They even gave out a list of the likelihood of the death of various characters with the exact percentage:
Tommen Baratheon- 97%
Most likely and easiest to kill, this most vulnerable King in the entire series can be axed off anytime.
Stannis Baratheon- 96%
We all were glad when he was axed off by Brienne, of course a man who can see his daughter burn to be the King deserves to be killed. Just wasn’t as brutal as we would have wanted.
Daenerys Targaryen- 95%
They never gave any reason as to the high stakes on the Khaleesi’s head but that’s what the algorithm predicts.
Davos Seaworth- 91%
We all kind of like him but as the past has shown us, Valar Morghulis.
Petyr Baelish- 91%
He might be the most cunning of them all but has won too many enemies to count. Seems like the axe is quite near his head.
Jon Snow- 11%
Seeing from the hue and cry on the social media after Jon Snow’s sudden death, the most shocking of them all after Ned Stark. Clubbed with the 11% chance of him dying by these student’s algorithm, it is highly unlikely that Jon Snow will stay dead.
But as they say even machines also cannot predict the insides of George R.R.Martin’s brain.
What do you guys think? Will Jon Snow resurrect from the dead? Let us know in the comments below!